Team ratings before week 5
Points better or worse than an average FBS team on a neutral field. Offense and defense are expected points per play, adjusted for opponents (defense: lower allowed is better, shown as positive).
| # | Team | Scoring | Efficiency | Off EPA | Def EPA | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Notre Dame | +23.9 | +25.5 | +0.192 | -0.200 | 4 |
| 2 | Georgia | +21.3 | +24.4 | +0.185 | -0.190 | 4 |
| 3 | Ohio State | +20.9 | +24.5 | +0.213 | -0.164 | 4 |
| 4 | Alabama | +22.9 | +19.2 | +0.158 | -0.137 | 4 |
| 5 | Texas | +21.2 | +17.0 | +0.091 | -0.170 | 4 |
| 6 | Miami | +15.6 | +22.1 | +0.223 | -0.117 | 4 |
| 7 | LSU | +18.6 | +17.1 | +0.111 | -0.152 | 4 |
| 8 | Oregon | +14.0 | +21.2 | +0.176 | -0.150 | 4 |
| 9 | Indiana | +15.8 | +19.3 | +0.165 | -0.132 | 4 |
| 10 | Florida | +18.5 | +15.7 | +0.154 | -0.087 | 4 |
| 11 | Utah | +17.3 | +16.6 | +0.155 | -0.100 | 4 |
| 12 | Tennessee | +14.1 | +13.4 | +0.082 | -0.124 | 4 |
| 13 | BYU | +10.3 | +17.1 | +0.158 | -0.105 | 3 |
| 14 | Nebraska | +14.5 | +10.8 | +0.106 | -0.060 | 4 |
| 15 | Texas Tech | +11.5 | +13.0 | +0.102 | -0.099 | 4 |
| 16 | USC | +10.7 | +13.3 | +0.164 | -0.041 | 5 |
| 17 | Mississippi State | +11.7 | +11.4 | +0.118 | -0.058 | 4 |
| 18 | Ole Miss | +10.5 | +12.0 | +0.142 | -0.042 | 4 |
| 19 | UCLA | +13.2 | +8.9 | +0.053 | -0.084 | 4 |
| 20 | Iowa | +9.9 | +12.1 | +0.089 | -0.097 | 4 |
| 21 | Penn State | +10.3 | +10.8 | +0.073 | -0.093 | 4 |
| 22 | Michigan | +8.2 | +12.8 | +0.080 | -0.117 | 4 |
| 23 | Northwestern | +11.2 | +9.5 | +0.104 | -0.043 | 3 |
| 24 | Boise State | +11.1 | +9.1 | +0.083 | -0.056 | 4 |
| 25 | Texas A&M | +10.0 | +9.5 | +0.057 | -0.089 | 4 |
| 26 | Houston | +8.7 | +10.6 | +0.127 | -0.036 | 4 |
| 27 | Oklahoma | +6.7 | +12.6 | +0.017 | -0.176 | 4 |
| 28 | SMU | +5.7 | +12.3 | +0.104 | -0.086 | 4 |
| 29 | Missouri | +7.2 | +10.6 | +0.070 | -0.093 | 4 |
| 30 | Virginia | +8.2 | +8.9 | +0.084 | -0.053 | 4 |
| 31 | Kentucky | +9.7 | +7.2 | +0.064 | -0.047 | 4 |
| 32 | Auburn | +9.0 | +7.8 | +0.043 | -0.077 | 4 |
| 33 | Pittsburgh | +7.7 | +8.9 | +0.073 | -0.064 | 4 |
| 34 | Arizona | +6.9 | +9.6 | +0.088 | -0.060 | 4 |
| 35 | James Madison | +7.4 | +8.4 | +0.041 | -0.088 | 4 |
| 36 | Louisville | +6.0 | +9.8 | +0.117 | -0.033 | 4 |
| 37 | Kansas State | +6.8 | +8.4 | +0.074 | -0.055 | 4 |
| 38 | Vanderbilt | +6.3 | +8.6 | +0.034 | -0.098 | 4 |
| 39 | Washington | +3.9 | +10.9 | +0.056 | -0.112 | 4 |
| 40 | Duke | +7.7 | +6.6 | +0.051 | -0.050 | 4 |
| 41 | Clemson | +6.8 | +6.6 | -0.008 | -0.110 | 4 |
| 42 | Wisconsin | +6.6 | +5.9 | +0.029 | -0.062 | 4 |
| 43 | South Carolina | +5.3 | +5.7 | +0.075 | -0.013 | 4 |
| 44 | UTSA | +5.5 | +5.3 | +0.045 | -0.036 | 4 |
| 45 | Iowa State | +6.0 | +4.5 | +0.023 | -0.046 | 4 |
| 46 | Baylor | +5.5 | +4.7 | +0.001 | -0.072 | 4 |
| 47 | TCU | +3.9 | +6.1 | +0.026 | -0.068 | 4 |
| 48 | Illinois | +5.4 | +4.5 | +0.101 | +0.032 | 4 |
| 49 | Wake Forest | +3.9 | +5.9 | +0.069 | -0.022 | 4 |
| 50 | North Dakota State | +5.2 | +4.6 | -0.009 | -0.079 | 4 |
| 51 | Toledo | +3.7 | +5.8 | +0.047 | -0.042 | 4 |
| 52 | North Texas | +1.9 | +6.4 | +0.115 | +0.016 | 4 |
| 53 | Texas State | +2.8 | +5.4 | +0.109 | +0.026 | 4 |
| 54 | New Mexico | +3.9 | +3.8 | +0.004 | -0.054 | 4 |
| 55 | NC State | +2.2 | +5.3 | +0.071 | -0.011 | 4 |
| 56 | Virginia Tech | +3.2 | +3.6 | +0.060 | +0.004 | 4 |
| 57 | Florida State | +3.6 | +2.8 | +0.080 | +0.037 | 4 |
| 58 | South Florida | +3.0 | +3.3 | +0.029 | -0.022 | 4 |
| 59 | North Carolina | +3.6 | +1.9 | +0.004 | -0.025 | 3 |
| 60 | Cincinnati | +3.2 | +2.3 | +0.073 | +0.037 | 4 |
| 61 | UCF | +4.9 | +0.0 | -0.047 | -0.048 | 4 |
| 62 | Minnesota | +2.1 | +2.3 | +0.003 | -0.032 | 4 |
| 63 | Oregon State | +3.0 | +1.0 | +0.021 | +0.006 | 4 |
| 64 | Arizona State | +0.1 | +2.8 | +0.001 | -0.042 | 3 |
| 65 | Louisiana | +0.9 | +1.4 | -0.047 | -0.069 | 4 |
| 66 | Michigan State | +4.3 | -2.0 | -0.029 | +0.002 | 4 |
| 67 | Oklahoma State | +1.6 | -0.1 | -0.010 | -0.008 | 4 |
| 68 | Western Michigan | +0.8 | -0.2 | +0.002 | +0.005 | 4 |
| 69 | Memphis | +0.8 | -0.3 | +0.035 | +0.040 | 4 |
| 70 | East Carolina | -3.2 | +2.9 | +0.009 | -0.036 | 4 |
| 71 | Arkansas | +1.3 | -1.8 | -0.011 | +0.016 | 4 |
| 72 | Kansas | -4.5 | +3.6 | +0.009 | -0.046 | 3 |
| 73 | Maryland | -1.6 | +0.3 | -0.018 | -0.023 | 4 |
| 74 | Georgia Tech | -2.2 | +0.8 | +0.036 | +0.023 | 4 |
| 75 | Colorado | -2.4 | +0.5 | -0.013 | -0.020 | 4 |
| 76 | Liberty | +1.3 | -3.4 | -0.030 | +0.023 | 4 |
| 77 | Purdue | -0.6 | -1.6 | +0.056 | +0.080 | 4 |
| 78 | Fresno State | +0.5 | -2.7 | -0.038 | +0.003 | 4 |
| 79 | West Virginia | -0.8 | -2.2 | +0.016 | +0.050 | 4 |
| 80 | Army | +0.7 | -3.8 | +0.020 | +0.078 | 3 |
| 81 | UConn | -3.3 | +0.2 | -0.001 | -0.004 | 4 |
| 82 | Washington State | -4.4 | +0.5 | -0.026 | -0.034 | 4 |
| 83 | UNLV | -2.0 | -2.0 | -0.030 | +0.001 | 4 |
| 84 | Rutgers | -3.3 | -1.4 | +0.009 | +0.031 | 4 |
| 85 | Tulane | -3.2 | -1.6 | -0.001 | +0.023 | 4 |
| 86 | Syracuse | -4.0 | -1.0 | -0.034 | -0.019 | 3 |
| 87 | Miami (OH) | -4.6 | -0.4 | +0.028 | +0.034 | 4 |
| 88 | California | -3.2 | -2.3 | -0.032 | +0.004 | 4 |
| 89 | Massachusetts | -0.8 | -5.7 | -0.063 | +0.025 | 4 |
| 90 | Temple | -3.2 | -4.1 | +0.012 | +0.075 | 4 |
| 91 | San Diego State | -4.2 | -3.2 | -0.046 | +0.004 | 4 |
| 92 | Jacksonville State | -5.1 | -2.5 | -0.014 | +0.024 | 5 |
| 93 | Colorado State | -3.2 | -4.6 | +0.019 | +0.090 | 4 |
| 94 | Ohio | -4.3 | -3.6 | +0.015 | +0.070 | 4 |
| 95 | Georgia State | -2.6 | -5.3 | -0.021 | +0.060 | 4 |
| 96 | Tulsa | -4.3 | -4.1 | -0.060 | +0.003 | 4 |
| 97 | Utah State | -5.0 | -4.0 | -0.067 | -0.005 | 4 |
| 98 | Louisiana Tech | -7.2 | -2.2 | -0.036 | -0.002 | 3 |
| 99 | Florida Atlantic | -2.0 | -7.5 | -0.031 | +0.084 | 4 |
| 100 | Georgia Southern | -4.9 | -4.9 | -0.026 | +0.049 | 4 |
| 101 | App State | -5.8 | -4.0 | -0.020 | +0.041 | 4 |
| 102 | Old Dominion | -8.6 | -2.7 | -0.079 | -0.037 | 4 |
| 103 | Air Force | -5.7 | -5.7 | -0.030 | +0.057 | 3 |
| 104 | Stanford | -7.2 | -4.3 | +0.010 | +0.077 | 4 |
| 105 | Troy | -5.8 | -5.8 | -0.064 | +0.024 | 4 |
| 106 | South Alabama | -4.4 | -7.5 | -0.019 | +0.096 | 4 |
| 107 | Delaware | -6.7 | -6.6 | -0.044 | +0.057 | 4 |
| 108 | Florida International | -6.8 | -8.1 | -0.104 | +0.022 | 4 |
| 109 | Boston College | -8.6 | -6.4 | -0.103 | -0.004 | 4 |
| 110 | Coastal Carolina | -8.1 | -7.1 | -0.049 | +0.060 | 4 |
| 111 | Marshall | -7.0 | -8.6 | -0.007 | +0.126 | 4 |
| 112 | Missouri State | -7.9 | -7.9 | -0.054 | +0.067 | 4 |
| 113 | Rice | -6.2 | -10.5 | -0.085 | +0.077 | 4 |
| 114 | Navy | -7.5 | -9.7 | -0.054 | +0.095 | 3 |
| 115 | Arkansas State | -9.5 | -7.8 | -0.057 | +0.063 | 4 |
| 116 | UAB | -8.8 | -8.6 | -0.090 | +0.043 | 4 |
| 117 | Southern Miss | -11.1 | -6.4 | -0.061 | +0.037 | 4 |
| 118 | Middle Tennessee | -8.9 | -9.0 | -0.064 | +0.075 | 4 |
| 119 | Western Kentucky | -9.4 | -9.4 | -0.052 | +0.093 | 4 |
| 120 | Kent State | -7.5 | -11.6 | -0.108 | +0.070 | 4 |
| 121 | Kennesaw State | -10.0 | -9.4 | -0.059 | +0.085 | 4 |
| 122 | Sam Houston | -9.6 | -9.8 | -0.086 | +0.065 | 4 |
| 123 | Nevada | -8.6 | -10.9 | -0.084 | +0.084 | 4 |
| 124 | Central Michigan | -9.4 | -10.6 | -0.083 | +0.079 | 4 |
| 125 | San José State | -10.2 | -10.1 | -0.101 | +0.054 | 4 |
| 126 | Wyoming | -12.4 | -9.5 | -0.068 | +0.078 | 4 |
| 127 | Hawai'i | -13.3 | -9.5 | -0.068 | +0.078 | 4 |
| 128 | Eastern Michigan | -12.4 | -11.1 | -0.102 | +0.069 | 5 |
| 129 | Ball State | -11.4 | -15.4 | -0.096 | +0.141 | 4 |
| 130 | Akron | -14.4 | -13.2 | -0.106 | +0.097 | 4 |
| 131 | Bowling Green | -13.2 | -15.6 | -0.158 | +0.082 | 4 |
| 132 | New Mexico State | -14.4 | -14.8 | -0.108 | +0.120 | 4 |
| 133 | Buffalo | -15.2 | -14.3 | -0.119 | +0.101 | 4 |
| 134 | Northern Illinois | -15.1 | -16.1 | -0.133 | +0.114 | 4 |
| 135 | UTEP | -15.2 | -17.4 | -0.136 | +0.132 | 4 |
| 136 | Sacramento State | -18.1 | -14.8 | -0.143 | +0.085 | 5 |
| 137 | Charlotte | -18.8 | -18.2 | -0.176 | +0.104 | 4 |
| 138 | UL Monroe | -18.6 | -19.5 | -0.149 | +0.150 | 4 |
For fun and information only. No model beats the spread every week; never bet more than you can afford to lose.